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Never trust a percentage

June 30, 2020 8:30 PM

In local and national government percentages are often used as a form of deception. But WC found itself on the receiving end of dodgy statistics for a change as the innumerate media picked up on a 300% increase in Covid cases, which was actually based on such as small number as to be meaningless.

Here's the official WC explanation.

Wiltshire Council has dismissed suggestions the county could be one of the next locations in the country to go into lockdown.

Media reports today (30 June) had stated there had been a recent weekly increase of new cases in the county of 300%. However this actually equates to just an increase from one to four new cases.

There are now 550 confirmed COVID-19 cases in the Wiltshire Council area, still comparatively low nationally, and the South West remains the lowest ranked region for cases. Wiltshire Council also has the sixth lowest rate of cases per 100,000 resident population with 110.4 cases per 100,000. This data is taken from the Public Health Coronavirus Case website https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/#category=utlas&map=rate

The council has now published its Local Outbreak Management Plan which will build on local expertise and effective health protection processes that are already in place, and outlines how the council and partners will positively engage with the public so they're fully aware and supportive of the crucial part they have to play in the process.

The government has identified seven themes that are deemed essential to plans to manage an outbreak effectively. They are:

  • Care homes and schools
  • Identify high risk settings, communities and places
  • Local testing capacity
  • Contact tracing
  • Data integration
  • Vulnerable people
  • Governance

Wiltshire Council will work with the Government to support test and trace services in local communities, taking a place-based approach to containing the spread of the infection as much as possible.

Kate Blackburn, Interim Director for Public Health at Wiltshire Council, said: " All the data suggests Wiltshire residents have been disciplined in following the guidance and social distancing measures, and there is currently no reason to believe that will change significantly any time soon. However, the Local Outbreak Management Plan will ensure Wiltshire Council and our partners can keep a close eye on any changes.

"We all need to work together to ensure this plan is as effective as it can be, should there be a local outbreak. Together with our partners, we have made sure there is a strong framework in place to support an effective outbreak response.

"However, we need communities up and down the county to play their role too and continue with their tremendous efforts so far to keep the infection at bay by following the guidelines closely."

The Local Outbreak Management Plan can be found at http://www.wiltshire.gov.uk/public-health-coronavirus